It's something

[Harvey44]

OK I KNOW the weekend looks bad.

But, ATTM, Gore is in a long plume of lake effect, (or lake enhanced) and it makes me smile. Don't usually get LES that far east.

M

 

[alexcaraco]

is it possible they have real snow?!?!
and will it hold til the 13th??

we shall see.....dun dun dun.

 

[Harvey44]

Our boys are making some progess up there - some summit terrain opening....Hawkeye, Cloud....hopefully the weekend won't hurt us too bad.

 

[Harvey44]

NWS at 4pm on Thurs

This from the NWS boys and girls in Albany:

HOW MUCH QPF WILL FALL AND WHAT TYPE? BASED ON 06Z GUIDANCE...THE ELEMENTS WERE TRENDING COLDER...LOOKING LIKE THE ONLY LIQUID RAIN WOULD FALL WELL SOUTH...WHILE SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN WOULD FALL IN OUR IMMEDIATE REGION...AND MOSTLY SNOW NORTH. THE 12Z GFS CONTINUED THE COLDER TREND...WITH THE ICING THREAT WELL SOUTH OF ALBANY...SLEET AND SNOW AROUND OUR REGION...AND ALL SNOW NORTH. THE BEST UPPER AIR SUPPORT STILL REMAINS TO OUR NORTH...WHILE THE SURFACE FEATURES ARE SOUTH OF US. STILL A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY...AND THE 12Z EUROPEAN STILL INDICATES A WARMER SCENARIO FAVORING MORE RAIN SOUTH. FOR NOW...BUMP POPS UP TO LIKELY SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AND TRENDED A LITTLE COLDER.

 

[NPN]

Re: NWS at 4pm on Thurs

This from the NWS boys and girls in Albany:

HOW MUCH QPF WILL FALL AND WHAT TYPE? BASED ON 06Z GUIDANCE...THE ELEMENTS WERE TRENDING COLDER...LOOKING LIKE THE ONLY LIQUID RAIN WOULD FALL WELL SOUTH...WHILE SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN WOULD FALL IN OUR IMMEDIATE REGION...AND MOSTLY SNOW NORTH. THE 12Z GFS CONTINUED THE COLDER TREND...WITH THE ICING THREAT WELL SOUTH OF ALBANY...SLEET AND SNOW AROUND OUR REGION...AND ALL SNOW NORTH. THE BEST UPPER AIR SUPPORT STILL REMAINS TO OUR NORTH...WHILE THE SURFACE FEATURES ARE SOUTH OF US. STILL A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY...AND THE 12Z EUROPEAN STILL INDICATES A WARMER SCENARIO FAVORING MORE RAIN SOUTH. FOR NOW...BUMP POPS UP TO LIKELY SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AND TRENDED A LITTLE COLDER.

Please help the ignorant: QPF, 06Z, 12Z GFS, BUMP???

 

[Harvey44]

Here's my guesses:

QPF = precipitation
6Z = 6AM
12Z = 12 Noon
Bump = to raise - Bump POPS would be to increase the probability of precipitation.

From what I gather there are a bunch of different computer models that quess at the weather. European is one, North American (NAM) and a GFS is another.

I've been reading those reports for years and still am guessing at most of the abbreviations.

M