tjf67 said:
The glades are not open yet but they are getting closer. Another 10 inches or so and they are good to go. We are supposed to get some snow tongiht, not that much.
One can always hope that the line of heavy snow squalls that comes through with the front drops a little more in the mountains than the 2-4 inches generally expected today and tonight across the region.
When they start talking like this you just never know. Places could get next to nothing, or places could get locally dumped on.......
WE HAVE BECOME INCREASINGLY CONCERNED ABOUT POSSIBLE SNOW SQUALL
ACTIVITY ALONG THE ARCTIC BNDRY AS IT MAKES ITS APPROACH INTO WRN
ST. LAWRENCE COUNTY AROUND 23Z...THEN ACROSS THE BULK OF NRN NY
BETWEEN 00-03Z...AND ACROSS THE CHAMPLAIN VLY AND REMAINDER OF VT
BETWEEN 03-07Z. MODEL SOUNDINGS DEPICT WELL THE SHARP LOW-LEVEL
COLD ADVECTION AND SHALLOW DRY ADIABATIC LAPSE RATES AND CONVECTIVE
INSTABILITY THAT WILL ACCOMPANY THE FROPA. THE OPERATIONAL
NAM12...AND OUR LOCALLY RUN WRF-12KM AND WRF-4KM ALL INDICATE AXIS
OF ROUGHLY 100 J/KG SBCAPE ALONG ARCTIC BNDRY. COMBINED WITH
STRONG FRONTAL CONVERGENCE AND BRIEF DEEP-LAYER ASCENT CONDITIONS
LOOK FAVORABLE FOR LINE OF HEAVY SNOW SQUALL ACTIVITY ALONG THE
FRONT. THIS WILL IMPLY NEAR ZERO VSBY FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OF TIME
IN HEAVY SNOW. ALSO LOOKING AT WLY WIND SHIFT AND GUSTS 30-40 MPH
FOR 1-3 HRS AFTER ARCTIC FRONT PASSAGE THAT WILL CONTRIBUTE TO
BLOWING SNOW.
We're headed up Friday. Skiing Sat, Sun, Mon. Saturday looks like the coldest day, so the kiddos (and moms) will probably take that as their play-with-their-cousins day off from skiing.....so it's the dads day of free reign on the mountain. If anyone is going to be around and wants to meet up, I'm game.