Gore Mountain Weather 08/09 Part 1

[Harvey44]

I've been trying to decide when to start this thread. I figured - what the heck. It's the first mention of the "S" word by the NWS for North Creek, so I thought I'd throw it out there. Stoke on:

Sunday Night: A chance of rain showers before midnight, then a chance of rain and snow showers between midnight and 2am, then a chance of snow showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

 

[MidnightCarving]

the s word may be optimistic, but i would say you've timed the thread appropriately, because if anyone is like me, they're starting to get anxious for the season, this is just one way to relieve the stress till we can truly relieve stress on the mountain. Anyway, im gonna put in an early prediction for a nov. 22nd opening.

 

[Harvey44]

OK Matt you convinced me to post this.

From the National Weather Service, for Gore Mountain:

Overnight: Snow showers, mainly before midnight. Low around 31. North wind around 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of around an inch possible.

Wednesday: A chance of snow showers, mixing with rain after 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 34. North wind between 8 and 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

And a map from Accuweather:

 

[megatron]

No white anywhere this morning, but a few flakes falling now.....

C

 

[Lbtchnlgs]

The site ssays its flurrying. S.Bush reports 6* at the top

 

[Harvey44]

Seems like a longshot for Gore, maybe more of a Killington event.

Early season wet snow can snap trees and powerlines and create all kinds of havoc.

Text is from NWS for Albany Zone. Graphic From Accuweather:

...IT APPEARS THE SIGNIFICANT CYCLOGENESIS WILL DEVELOP ALONG...OR JUST OFF THE EASTERN SEABOARD. THE BIG QUESTION IS EXACTLY WHERE THIS STORM MOVES. SOME MODELS INDICATE THIS STORM WOULD TRACK ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD AND ACTUALLY HAVE ENOUGH COLD AIR TO SUPPORT SNOW. THE LATEST DATA TENDS TO CONFINE THIS CYCLOGENESIS FURTHER TO OUR NORTHEAST...ACROSS THE GULF OF MAINE...WHICH WILL KEEP THE HEAVIEST QPF OUT OF OUR REGION. THAT IS NOT TO SAY WE WOULD ESCAPE ACCUMULATING SNOW. SOME ACCUMULATING SNOW IS A GOOD BET ACROSS OUR HIGHER TERRAIN...ESPECIALLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF ALBANY. EVEN VALLEY LOCATIONS COULD RECEIVE THEIR FIRST COATING OF SNOW COME MONDAY NIGHT BUT IT WAY TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE EXACTLY HOW MUCH...OR EXACTLY WHEN THIS SNOW MIGHT OCCUR. STAY TUNED.

 

[Harvey44]

While there is clearly more warm air in our future, this looks like fun Tues Night:

 

[Harvey44]

And this from the great optimist Henry M of Accuweather:

 

[megatron]

Check this out!




C

 

[megatron]

This might be a whopper folks

Issued by The National Weather Service
Albany, NY
3:38 pm EDT, Mon., Oct. 27, 2008

... WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS... THE MOHAWK AND SCHOHARIE VALLEYS... AND THE EASTERN CATSKILLS.

A RAPIDLY DEEPENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OFF THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST WILL TRACK NORTHWARD ON TUESDAY ACROSS THE CONNECTICUT RIVER VALLEY. RAIN WILL MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO ALL SNOW TUESDAY MORNING AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH THE DAY. SNOWFALL RATES COULD APPROACH 1 INCH PER HOUR ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE CATSKILLS AND ADIRONDACKS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. TOTAL SNOWFALL BY WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL RANGE BETWEEN 8 AND 16 INCHES... WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS STORM WILL INCREASE FROM THE WEST ON TUESDAY WITH SPEEDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS BETWEEN 50 AND 55 MPH. THESE WINDS... ALONG WITH THE SNOW... WILL RESULT IN POOR VISIBILITIES. IN ADDITION... THE COMBINATION OF HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS MAY RESULT IN DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.



C

 

[mattchuck2]

WOW . . .

Might be worth a little day trip on wednesday . . . just to play in some snow. . .

 

[Lbtchnlgs]

I will be there on Wed

 

[Lbtchnlgs]

I really wish they would install a webcam. Looks like most all other places are switching over to snow by now. No way to tell about Gore. Accuweather says only a few inches, might have to head elsewhere in the morning

 

[midwestblues]

Any on site updates?

Is the mountain getting snow of is it all falling further west? Any locals please update. Thanks Eric

 

[Lbtchnlgs]

Re: Any on site updates?

Is the mountain getting snow of is it all falling further west? Any locals please update. Thanks Eric

Call the mountain and let us know. I am scared to- I did once last season and was insulted by the lady whom i asked the snowfall question to. Please?

 

[Harvey44]

 

[Lbtchnlgs]

Damn, Harv you are so resourceful!

Thanks for posting that. I wish my internet connection was better so it wouldn't take me so long to search all the weather/mtn sites.

Windham is reporting 4-12 already. I think i may head down there in the morning rather than Gore. Only time will tell

 

[Guest]

OVERNIGHT...SNOWFALL RATES WILL DIMINISH TO UNDER HALF AN INCH PER
HOUR. HOWEVER A NORTHWEST WIND WILL CONTINUE AT 20 TO 30
MPH...GUSTING OVER 50 ACROSS THIS AREA. THE COMBINATION OF THE
HEAVY WET SNOW...WIND AND RESIDUAL LEAVES ON TREES...WILL LIKELY
RESULT IN WIDESPREAD AND LONG LASTING POWER OUTAGES...ESPECIALLY
IN AREAS OVER 2000 FEET WHERE OVER FOOT TO 20 INCHES OF SNOW WILL
FALL. LESSER AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WILL FALL BETWEEN
ELEVATIONS OF 1000 AND 2000 FEET...BUT WILL NEVERTHELESS CAUSE
SOME POWER OUTAGES. LOWER ELEVATIONS RIGHT ALONG THE MOHAWK RIVER
MIGHT RECEIVE LESS THAN 6 INCHES OF SNOW...BUT STILL ENOUGH TO
PRODUCE SOME SPOTTY POWER OUTAGES.

 

[Harvey44]

While I've been excited about this major first snowfall of the season, in the back of my mind I've been thinking about the very real possibility of damage from heavy snow and high winds.

This call from NWS for North River doesn't make me feel any better:

Tonight: Snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 31. Breezy, with a west wind between 18 and 20 mph, with gusts as high as 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible.

National Grid...the power company in the area has a page on their site...that reports outages by county and it seems to be kept reasonably current. As of this posting - around 10pm Tues 10/28...most of the outages seem to be in central NY. Nothing reported yet for Warren County.

https://www1.nationalgridus.com/niagaramohawk/storm/OutagesByCounty.aspx

The last thing I want to do is relive this episode, this past March:

http://harvey44.blogspot.com/2008/08/gore-mtn-ny-31408.html

WEDS AM EDIT: Any "Man in the Creek" Reports to share?

 

[Guest]

I have a friend that went up to North Creek today, as well as hike around Gore - brought skis if its decent enough. Has camera and video cam with him.