Gore Mountain Weather 08/09 Part 1
- Thread starter Harvey44
- Start date
mattchuck2
New member
Dude, you know Scotty Visscher?
Dude's the man!!!!!!
Dude's the man!!!!!!
Harvey44
New member
From NWS in Albany:
FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...
...HIGH (pressure) WILL SLIDE OFF TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST SUN NIGHT...AS A WARM FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THIS FRONT WILL ... BRING THE CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD SNOW ... POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SOME RAIN IN THE VALLEYS ON MON. THIS MAY BRING THE FIRST ACCUMULATING SNOW TO MANY LOWER ELEVATION LOCATIONS.
MON NIGHT INTO TUE...MODELS HAVE COME INTO SOMEWHAT BETTER AGREEMENT ...THE GFS MAINTAINS A NORTHERLY TRACK WITH THE LOW REMAINING NORTH OF THE CANADIAN BORDER. HOWEVER...THE ECMWF DIGS THE UPPER LOW ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY AND MID ATLANTIC REGION...SPAWNING A RATHER POTENT COASTAL LOW ON TUE WITH SIGNIFICANT WINTRY PRECIP FOR EASTERN NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND...WITH A HIGH AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY FOR THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK.
FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...
...HIGH (pressure) WILL SLIDE OFF TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST SUN NIGHT...AS A WARM FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THIS FRONT WILL ... BRING THE CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD SNOW ... POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SOME RAIN IN THE VALLEYS ON MON. THIS MAY BRING THE FIRST ACCUMULATING SNOW TO MANY LOWER ELEVATION LOCATIONS.
MON NIGHT INTO TUE...MODELS HAVE COME INTO SOMEWHAT BETTER AGREEMENT ...THE GFS MAINTAINS A NORTHERLY TRACK WITH THE LOW REMAINING NORTH OF THE CANADIAN BORDER. HOWEVER...THE ECMWF DIGS THE UPPER LOW ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY AND MID ATLANTIC REGION...SPAWNING A RATHER POTENT COASTAL LOW ON TUE WITH SIGNIFICANT WINTRY PRECIP FOR EASTERN NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND...WITH A HIGH AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY FOR THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK.
Harvey44
New member
OK GUYS this is from the NWS for Gore.
That Monday night forecast, this far out...is the boys in Albany saying..."you know what...somethin might be a comin."
I'm going to watch it:
* * * *
Sunday: Partly sunny, with a high near 30.
Sunday Night: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 17. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday: A chance of snow. Cloudy, with a high near 34. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday Night: A chance of snow. Cloudy, with a low around 23. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Tuesday: A chance of snow showers. Cloudy, with a high near 34. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 21.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 28.
That Monday night forecast, this far out...is the boys in Albany saying..."you know what...somethin might be a comin."
I'm going to watch it:
* * * *
Sunday: Partly sunny, with a high near 30.
Sunday Night: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 17. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday: A chance of snow. Cloudy, with a high near 34. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday Night: A chance of snow. Cloudy, with a low around 23. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Tuesday: A chance of snow showers. Cloudy, with a high near 34. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 21.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 28.
mattchuck2
New member
fujative. said:
Yeah, they're renting it to Patrick . . .
Let's see how long that bull lasts in the China shop
Harvey44
New member
OK YEA the WEATHER thread. Remember the weather?
The NWS is now at a 60% chance of snow for Monday/Tues...that's a high percentage that far out.
From the KALB porn stash:
THE EXTENDED PERIOD BEGINS WITH LOW PRESSURE MOVING INTO WESTERN NEW YORK FROM THE GREAT LAKES.
THE GFS INDICATES EXPLOSIVE DEVELOPMENT OF THE LOW WHICH BECOMES A TRANSLATION TO A DEVELOPING COASTAL SYSTEM...WHICH THEN CUTS OFF AND MEANDERS AROUND SOUTHERN NEW YORK/NEW ENGLAND THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
THE GFS ALSO DRAWS IN MUCH WARMER AIR UP THROUGH 850 MB...LEAVING ONLY THE CATSKILLS TO THE
ADIRONDACKS IN GOOD SHAPE FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL AS IT APPEARS RIGHT NOW. THE ECMWF HANGS BACK FOR LONGER BEFORE THE ENERGY IS DRAWN INTO THE COASTAL SYSTEM MUCH LATER IN THE GAME...THU/FRI.
HAVE GONE SOMEWHERE IN BETWEEN THE GFS AND ECMWF SOLUTIONS BECAUSE THE GREATER PERSISTENCE OF THE GFS LOW COMPARED TO THE 12Z THU RUN...AND THE MUCH FURTHER WEST CUTTING OFF OF THE ECMWF LOW SINCE ITS 12Z RUN...BOTH POINT TO LOW CONFIDENCE AND CONTINUED UNCERTAINTY
CONCERNING THE OUTCOME OF THIS EVENT GIVEN EITHER MODEL.
The NWS is now at a 60% chance of snow for Monday/Tues...that's a high percentage that far out.
From the KALB porn stash:
THE EXTENDED PERIOD BEGINS WITH LOW PRESSURE MOVING INTO WESTERN NEW YORK FROM THE GREAT LAKES.
THE GFS INDICATES EXPLOSIVE DEVELOPMENT OF THE LOW WHICH BECOMES A TRANSLATION TO A DEVELOPING COASTAL SYSTEM...WHICH THEN CUTS OFF AND MEANDERS AROUND SOUTHERN NEW YORK/NEW ENGLAND THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
THE GFS ALSO DRAWS IN MUCH WARMER AIR UP THROUGH 850 MB...LEAVING ONLY THE CATSKILLS TO THE
ADIRONDACKS IN GOOD SHAPE FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL AS IT APPEARS RIGHT NOW. THE ECMWF HANGS BACK FOR LONGER BEFORE THE ENERGY IS DRAWN INTO THE COASTAL SYSTEM MUCH LATER IN THE GAME...THU/FRI.
HAVE GONE SOMEWHERE IN BETWEEN THE GFS AND ECMWF SOLUTIONS BECAUSE THE GREATER PERSISTENCE OF THE GFS LOW COMPARED TO THE 12Z THU RUN...AND THE MUCH FURTHER WEST CUTTING OFF OF THE ECMWF LOW SINCE ITS 12Z RUN...BOTH POINT TO LOW CONFIDENCE AND CONTINUED UNCERTAINTY
CONCERNING THE OUTCOME OF THIS EVENT GIVEN EITHER MODEL.
G
Guest
Guest
Tuesday Wednesday looks real good.
This model seems to be the idea.
This model seems to be the idea.
Harvey44
New member
I know this is not all stoke. I think I'm cranky because what's his name posted his TR in my weather thread.
From the NWS in Albany:
THIS WILL BE ANOTHER ELEVATION STORM WITH THE HIGHER TERRAIN WEST OF THE HUDSON VALLEY EXPERIENCING MOSTLY SNOW TONIGHT... THERE IS ALSO CONCERN FOR FREEZING RAIN ESPECIALLY IN THE LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA REGION... HEAVIEST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TONIGHT EXPECTED IN THE WESTERN ADIRONDACKS AS WELL AS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE EASTERN CATSKILLS WHERE 3 TO 8
INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE.
* * * *
THE BIG QUESTION FOR TUESDAY WILL BE THE EXACT TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW AND HOW QUICKLY IF AT ALL THE COLD LAYER IN PLACE ACROSS THE WESTERN ADIRONDACKS IS ERODED.
ANOTHER CONCERN WILL BE STRONG EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS ON TUESDAY.
HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE MID 30S TO MID 40S AND IF THE WESTERN ADIRONDACKS CAN MAINTAIN THE COLD AIR IN THE LOWER LEVELS LONG ENOUGH ON TUESDAY ANOTHER 3 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE.
IN ADDITION THE WINDS COUPLED WITH THE HEAVY WET SNOW HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES. LATEST ECMWF INDICATES A BRIEF PUSH OF WARM AIR INTO THE WESTERN ADIRONDACKS IN THE MORNING THEN WRAPS COLD AIR AROUND SOUTH SIDE OF LOW CHANGING ANY MIXED PCPN BACK TO SNOW DURING THE AFTERNOON.
From the NWS in Albany:
THIS WILL BE ANOTHER ELEVATION STORM WITH THE HIGHER TERRAIN WEST OF THE HUDSON VALLEY EXPERIENCING MOSTLY SNOW TONIGHT... THERE IS ALSO CONCERN FOR FREEZING RAIN ESPECIALLY IN THE LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA REGION... HEAVIEST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TONIGHT EXPECTED IN THE WESTERN ADIRONDACKS AS WELL AS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE EASTERN CATSKILLS WHERE 3 TO 8
INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE.
* * * *
THE BIG QUESTION FOR TUESDAY WILL BE THE EXACT TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW AND HOW QUICKLY IF AT ALL THE COLD LAYER IN PLACE ACROSS THE WESTERN ADIRONDACKS IS ERODED.
ANOTHER CONCERN WILL BE STRONG EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS ON TUESDAY.
HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE MID 30S TO MID 40S AND IF THE WESTERN ADIRONDACKS CAN MAINTAIN THE COLD AIR IN THE LOWER LEVELS LONG ENOUGH ON TUESDAY ANOTHER 3 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE.
IN ADDITION THE WINDS COUPLED WITH THE HEAVY WET SNOW HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES. LATEST ECMWF INDICATES A BRIEF PUSH OF WARM AIR INTO THE WESTERN ADIRONDACKS IN THE MORNING THEN WRAPS COLD AIR AROUND SOUTH SIDE OF LOW CHANGING ANY MIXED PCPN BACK TO SNOW DURING THE AFTERNOON.
Harvey44
New member
This is much more positive than everything else I've been reading. I'll take it if it verifies:
Megatron....will look for your accum updates at the end of the storm.
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TUESDAY NIGHT.
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 16 INCHES IN THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS ARE PROJECTED
BY THE TIME THE PRECIPITATION TAPERS OFF LATE TUESDAY NIGHT WITH
THE HIGHEST SNOWFALL TOTALS EXPECTED TO OCCUR AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE
2000 FEET.
A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT. LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE GREAT
LAKES REGION TONIGHT AND THEN DRIFT SLOWLY EAST ACROSS OUR REGION
ON TUESDAY. THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE MAINLY SNOW STARTING THIS
EVENING AND CONTINUING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. MUCH OF THE
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO FALL MAINLY AS SNOW.
IN ADDITION...EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS
UP TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...WHICH
COMBINED WITH THE HEAVY SNOW MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES.
A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.
Megatron....will look for your accum updates at the end of the storm.
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TUESDAY NIGHT.
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 16 INCHES IN THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS ARE PROJECTED
BY THE TIME THE PRECIPITATION TAPERS OFF LATE TUESDAY NIGHT WITH
THE HIGHEST SNOWFALL TOTALS EXPECTED TO OCCUR AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE
2000 FEET.
A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT. LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE GREAT
LAKES REGION TONIGHT AND THEN DRIFT SLOWLY EAST ACROSS OUR REGION
ON TUESDAY. THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE MAINLY SNOW STARTING THIS
EVENING AND CONTINUING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. MUCH OF THE
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO FALL MAINLY AS SNOW.
IN ADDITION...EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS
UP TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...WHICH
COMBINED WITH THE HEAVY SNOW MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES.
A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.
nyspnypd
New member
Harvey44 said:This is much more positive than everything else I've been reading. I'll take it if it verifies:
Megatron....will look for your accum updates at the end of the storm.
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TUESDAY NIGHT.
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 16 INCHES IN THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS ARE PROJECTED
BY THE TIME THE PRECIPITATION TAPERS OFF LATE TUESDAY NIGHT WITH
THE HIGHEST SNOWFALL TOTALS EXPECTED TO OCCUR AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE
2000 FEET.
A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT. LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE GREAT
LAKES REGION TONIGHT AND THEN DRIFT SLOWLY EAST ACROSS OUR REGION
ON TUESDAY. THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE MAINLY SNOW STARTING THIS
EVENING AND CONTINUING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. MUCH OF THE
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO FALL MAINLY AS SNOW.
IN ADDITION...EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS
UP TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...WHICH
COMBINED WITH THE HEAVY SNOW MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES.
A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.
WF and gore are going to be able to open loads of trails on opening day I think this is the most ever since I have been skiing. So thrilled!!
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